Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-09 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 53.0%
CHI: 47.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.18
CHI: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | NYR 6 - 1 CHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-12-10 | CHI 3 - 0 NYR | CHI | NYR |
| 2025-01-05 | CHI 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | CHI |
| 2024-12-09 | NYR 1 - 2 CHI | CHI | NYR |
| 2024-02-09 | CHI 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYR | 19 | 0 | 1.17 |
| 1 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 2 | NYR | 13 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | CHI | 17 | 1 | 1.49 |
| 3 | NYR | 10 | 1 | 0.51 |
| 3 | CHI | 14 | 0 | 0.68 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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