Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-09 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 60.7%

CHI: 39.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.42

CHI: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	32	30	2	93.8%	3.02	1	1.02
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	30	29	1	96.7%	2.41	1	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	NYR
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	19	0	1.17
1	CHI	14	0	0.86
2	NYR	13	0	0.73
2	CHI	17	1	1.49
3	NYR	10	1	0.51
3	CHI	14	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6