Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 59.2%
PHI: 40.8%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.23
PHI: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.867 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | CBJ 5 - 3 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-15 | PHI 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | PHI |
| 2025-01-14 | CBJ 3 - 2 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-21 | PHI 5 - 4 CBJ | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-10 | CBJ 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:37 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 16:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:11 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:23 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:42 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:55 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9