Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 50.1%
FLA: 49.9%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.82
FLA: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
| Stat | SEA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Joey Daccord | 35 | 32 | 3 | 91.4% | 5.27 | 4 | 2.27 |
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 20 | 19 | 1 | 95.0% | 1.83 | 0 | 0.83 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs FLA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | FLA 5 - 4 SEA | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-15 | SEA 6 - 2 FLA | SEA | FLA |
| 2025-02-22 | FLA 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | FLA |
| 2024-12-10 | SEA 1 - 2 FLA | FLA | SEA |
| 2023-12-12 | SEA 4 - 0 FLA | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 10 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 1 | FLA | 23 | 1 | 1.54 |
| 2 | SEA | 7 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 2 | FLA | 17 | 1 | 0.82 |
| 3 | SEA | 10 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 3 | FLA | 19 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 4 | SEA | 5 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 4 | FLA | 3 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 5 | SEA | 2 | 0 | 0.10 |
| 5 | FLA | 2 | 2 | 1.83 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 2 Florida Panthers
Expected: 2.8 - 2.9
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