San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 55.6%

SJS: 44.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.21

SJS: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	7	0	0.76
1	SJS	16	1	0.77
2	STL	10	0	0.73
2	SJS	11	2	1.11
3	STL	13	2	1.53
3	SJS	7	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1