Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

SEA: 41.7%

OTT: 58.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.22

OTT: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.3

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 36%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	27	24	3	88.9%	2.95	2	-0.05
OTT	Linus Ullmark	30	30	0	100.0%	2.46	0	2.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • SEA at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	0.58
1	OTT	17	1	0.82
2	SEA	13	0	0.61
2	OTT	16	0	0.99
3	SEA	20	0	1.27
3	OTT	14	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3