Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-12-17 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 57.9%
WPG: 42.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.74
WPG: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 32%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | SJS | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.929 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • SJS at home vs WPG: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2 - 1 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-17 | SJS 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | SJS |
| 2024-10-18 | WPG 8 - 3 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-14 | WPG 1 - 0 SJS | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:18 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 01:52 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:28 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 17:11 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:44 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 11:56 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.7 - 2.8