Winnipeg Jets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SJS: 47.2%

WPG: 52.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.12

WPG: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SJS at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.48
1	WPG	14	2	1.02
2	SJS	23	0	1.07
2	WPG	13	0	0.89
3	SJS	17	0	0.84
3	WPG	21	0	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3