St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • Amalie Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

TBL: 70.2%

STL: 29.8%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.74

STL: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TBL at home vs STL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	STL 3 - 2 TBL	STL	TBL
2025-12-22	TBL 4 - 1 STL	TBL	TBL
2024-12-19	TBL 3 - 1 STL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-05	STL 3 - 2 TBL	STL	STL
2023-12-19	TBL 6 - 1 STL	TBL	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	05:14	TBL	Goal
2	03:42	TBL	Goal
2	12:15	TBL	Goal
2	13:33	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5