Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 58.9%
WSH: 41.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.42
WSH: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | BOS | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.954 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs WSH: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | WSH 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | WSH |
| 2026-03-07 | BOS 3 - 1 WSH | BOS | WSH |
| 2025-10-08 | WSH 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-01 | BOS 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | BOS |
| 2024-12-31 | WSH 3 - 1 BOS | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:50 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 13:41 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:38 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 1 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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