New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-12-29 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 61.1%
NYI: 38.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.97
NYI: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | PIT | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.830 | 0.873 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • PIT at home vs NYI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | NYI 5 - 4 PIT | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-10-09 | PIT 4 - 3 NYI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-03-18 | PIT 2 - 4 NYI | NYI | PIT |
| 2024-12-29 | PIT 3 - 2 NYI | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-28 | NYI 6 - 3 PIT | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 01:36 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:57 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:10 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9