Buffalo Sabres at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-12-29 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.3%
BUF: 48.7%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.99
BUF: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | STL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • STL at home vs BUF: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
| 2024-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4 - 3 STL | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:52 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 13:06 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:56 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:30 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:19 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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