Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-31 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.0%
UTA: 36.0%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.50
UTA: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | EDM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.783 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | EDM 6 - 3 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-18 | EDM 7 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-31 | EDM 4 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-29 | UTA 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 06:00 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 04:53 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:13 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:58 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6