Buffalo Sabres at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-02 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

COL: 62.9%

BUF: 37.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.30

BUF: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs BUF: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	COL 6 - 3 BUF	COL	COL
2025-10-13	BUF 1 - 3 COL	COL	BUF
2025-01-02	COL 6 - 5 BUF	COL	COL
2024-12-03	BUF 4 - 5 COL	COL	BUF
2023-12-13	COL 5 - 1 BUF	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.58
1	BUF	13	3	1.19
2	COL	15	0	0.83
2	BUF	8	0	0.63
3	COL	17	1	1.47
3	BUF	7	1	0.84
4	COL	2	0	0.32
4	BUF	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7