Buffalo Sabres at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-01-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 58.7%
BUF: 41.3%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.49
BUF: 2.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | COL | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs BUF: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | COL 6 - 3 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-13 | BUF 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-02 | COL 6 - 5 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-03 | BUF 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2023-12-13 | COL 5 - 1 BUF | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 17:10 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:08 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 16:09 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:48 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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