New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-01-05 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 53.1%

NYR: 46.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.30

NYR: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

NYR

Louis Domingue - 1-0-0 | 0.962 SV% | 1.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	34	28	6	82.4%	2.83	1	-3.17
NYR	Louis Domingue	27	25	2	92.6%	1.95	3	-0.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	NYR
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	7	1	0.39
1	NYR	16	0	0.76
2	CHI	10	0	0.48
2	NYR	16	0	1.14
3	CHI	17	2	1.09
3	NYR	14	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1