Florida Panthers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-01-06 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

COL: 53.9%

FLA: 46.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.61

FLA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs FLA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-04	FLA 2 - 1 COL	FLA	FLA
2025-12-11	COL 6 - 2 FLA	COL	COL
2025-01-06	COL 3 - 1 FLA	COL	COL
2024-11-23	FLA 4 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-02-10	FLA 4 - 0 COL	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.97
1	FLA	9	1	0.86
2	COL	12	0	0.82
2	FLA	13	3	1.46
3	COL	20	2	1.95
3	FLA	18	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0