Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2025-01-07 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 44.7%
CGY: 55.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.97
CGY: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs CGY: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | ANA 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | CGY |
| 2026-03-26 | CGY 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-03-01 | ANA 3 - 2 CGY | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-01-25 | CGY 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-09 | ANA 4 - 3 CGY | ANA | CGY |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 1 | CGY | 18 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 2 | ANA | 11 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 2 | CGY | 19 | 2 | 1.47 |
| 3 | ANA | 13 | 0 | 0.68 |
| 3 | CGY | 15 | 1 | 1.20 |
| 4 | ANA | 1 | 1 | 0.27 |
| 4 | CGY | 5 | 2 | 1.34 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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