Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-01-09 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 44.8%

COL: 55.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.62

COL: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.82
1	COL	13	0	0.73
2	MIN	16	0	0.80
2	COL	18	1	1.20
3	MIN	22	1	1.28
3	COL	11	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2