Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-01-11 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 59.8%

CBJ: 40.2%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.21

CBJ: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	30	28	2	93.3%	2.16	1	0.16
CBJ	Jet Greaves	32	31	1	96.9%	2.74	1	1.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CBJ: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-30	STL 0 - 1 CBJ	CBJ	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	0	0.74
1	CBJ	13	0	0.47
2	STL	14	0	0.76
2	CBJ	21	0	1.04
3	STL	18	1	1.25
3	CBJ	7	1	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6