San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 60.5%

SJS: 39.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.53

SJS: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	DET 4 - 2 SJS	DET	DET
2025-11-02	SJS 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-01-14	DET 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	DET
2024-11-18	SJS 5 - 4 DET	SJS	DET
2024-01-02	SJS 3 - 5 DET	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	21	3	1.55
1	SJS	8	0	0.67
2	DET	13	1	0.78
2	SJS	10	0	0.54
3	DET	19	1	1.36
3	SJS	12	2	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.3