Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2025-01-14 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 54.2%

SEA: 45.8%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.18

SEA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • PIT at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	SEA 3 - 6 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-11-22	PIT 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	PIT
2025-01-25	SEA 4 - 1 PIT	SEA	PIT
2025-01-14	PIT 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	PIT
2024-02-29	SEA 2 - 0 PIT	SEA	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	29	2	2.11
1	SEA	8	0	0.35
2	PIT	14	0	0.40
2	SEA	14	0	0.55
3	PIT	8	0	0.37
3	SEA	12	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9