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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
CGY: 61.1%
BUF: 38.9%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.51
BUF: 2.59
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 54%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
StatCGYBUF
Season SV%0.9010.906
Last 5 SV%0.9040.847
SV% vs Opponent0.8621.000
GAA2.822.82
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BUF: 2-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2025-12-08CGY 7 - 4 BUFCGYCGY
2025-11-19BUF 2 - 6 CGYCGYBUF
2025-01-23CGY 5 - 2 BUFCGYCGY
2024-11-09BUF 3 - 2 CGYBUFBUF
2024-03-24CGY 1 - 4 BUFBUFCGY

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
112:00CGYGoal
202:50CGYGoal
207:18BUFGoal
210:31CGYGoal
303:29CGYGoal
317:15CGYGoal
317:52CGYGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6