Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-01-23 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

SEA: 35.2%

WSH: 64.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.51

WSH: 3.78

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	33	30	3	90.9%	5.24	4	2.24
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	22	22	0	100.0%	1.57	1	1.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	0.43
1	WSH	20	0	1.22
2	SEA	12	0	0.54
2	WSH	16	2	2.17
3	SEA	13	1	0.60
3	WSH	17	2	1.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.5 - 3.8