Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-01-25 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 43.7%

COL: 56.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.34

COL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs COL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-25	BOS 3 - 2 COL	BOS	COL
2025-10-18	COL 4 - 1 BOS	COL	COL
2025-01-25	BOS 3 - 1 COL	BOS	COL
2024-10-16	COL 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	COL
2024-01-18	BOS 5 - 2 COL	BOS	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	0	0.32
1	COL	17	2	0.90
2	BOS	5	0	0.10
2	COL	10	0	0.57
3	BOS	9	3	1.66
3	COL	18	1	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.3 - 2.9