Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-01-25 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 47.0%
COL: 53.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.06
COL: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | BOS | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs COL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | BOS 3 - 2 COL | BOS | COL |
| 2025-10-18 | COL 4 - 1 BOS | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-25 | BOS 3 - 1 COL | BOS | COL |
| 2024-10-16 | COL 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | COL |
| 2024-01-18 | BOS 5 - 2 COL | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:30 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:25 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:44 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:57 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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