Pittsburgh Penguins at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-01-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 44.0%

PIT: 56.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.01

PIT: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	PIT 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	PIT
2025-10-18	SJS 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-01-27	SJS 2 - 1 PIT	SJS	PIT
2024-11-16	PIT 4 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT
2024-03-14	PIT 6 - 3 SJS	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	15	0	0.78
1	PIT	19	0	1.16
2	SJS	16	0	0.97
2	PIT	12	1	1.12
3	SJS	10	1	1.14
3	PIT	22	3	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5