Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-02-04 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 51.2%
PHI: 48.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.38
PHI: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | UTA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PHI: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PHI 0 - 3 UTA | UTA | PHI |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5 - 4 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3 - 2 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-08 | PHI 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:02 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:32 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:29 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 08:40 | UTA | Goal |
| 4 | 04:59 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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