Philadelphia Flyers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2025-02-04 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

UTA: 51.9%

PHI: 48.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.26

PHI: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs PHI: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	PHI 0 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-21	UTA 5 - 4 PHI	UTA	UTA
2025-02-04	UTA 3 - 2 PHI	UTA	UTA
2024-12-08	PHI 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	21	0	0.89
1	PHI	15	1	0.90
2	UTA	24	1	1.67
2	PHI	7	0	0.65
3	UTA	19	0	1.20
3	PHI	9	0	0.26
4	UTA	6	0	0.63
4	PHI	2	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9