Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-02-06 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 40.2%
CAR: 59.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.52
CAR: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 3.9
Over 5.5: 26%
Over 6.5: 17%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | MIN | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.852 | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | MIN 4 - 3 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-11-06 | CAR 4 - 3 MIN | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-06 | MIN 2 - 1 CAR | MIN | CAR |
| 2025-01-04 | CAR 0 - 4 MIN | MIN | CAR |
| 2024-02-27 | MIN 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:55 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 00:49 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:12 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.5 - 2.7
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