Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-02-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 47.5%

COL: 52.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.87

COL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	32	31	1	96.9%	2.72	0	1.72
COL	Scott Wedgewood	17	15	2	88.2%	2.35	3	0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	1	0.71
1	COL	15	0	0.71
2	NSH	10	0	0.44
2	COL	14	0	0.81
3	NSH	9	2	1.20
3	COL	16	0	1.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4