San Jose Sharks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-02-27 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

MTL: 67.6%

SJS: 32.4%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.61

SJS: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MTL 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	MTL
2026-03-03	SJS 7 - 5 MTL	SJS	MTL
2025-02-27	MTL 4 - 3 SJS	MTL	MTL
2025-02-04	SJS 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	MTL
2024-01-11	MTL 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	14	0	0.72
1	SJS	12	2	1.47
2	MTL	6	1	0.57
2	SJS	17	0	1.17
3	MTL	16	1	1.50
3	SJS	15	0	0.77
4	MTL	2	1	0.31
4	SJS	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0