Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2025-02-28 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 82.4%
MIN: 17.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 4.41
MIN: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | COL 4 - 3 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-11 | MIN 2 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-09 | MIN 5 - 1 COL | MIN | COL |
| 2026-05-05 | COL 5 - 2 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-03 | COL 9 - 6 MIN | COL | COL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL | 20 | 1 | 1.26 |
| 1 | MIN | 14 | 2 | 1.08 |
| 2 | COL | 18 | 0 | 1.29 |
| 2 | MIN | 7 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 3 | COL | 7 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 3 | MIN | 12 | 0 | 0.84 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 82.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 4.4 - 2.6
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