Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-11 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 53.8%

COL: 46.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.64

COL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	7	0	0.41
1	COL	12	0	0.49
2	MIN	9	0	0.36
2	COL	16	0	0.97
3	MIN	10	0	0.60
3	COL	15	0	0.75
4	MIN	1	0	0.03
4	COL	3	0	0.23
5	MIN	2	2	1.58
5	COL	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.1