Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-03-22 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 51.6%
PHI: 48.4%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.87
PHI: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DAL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.821 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | PHI 2 - 1 DAL | PHI | DAL |
| 2025-11-15 | DAL 5 - 1 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-22 | DAL 3 - 2 PHI | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-01-09 | PHI 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-01-18 | PHI 5 - 1 DAL | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:27 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:59 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:03 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:48 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:09 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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