Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

NSH: 57.8%

TOR: 42.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.27

TOR: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

TOR

Joseph Woll - 8-4-1 | 0.914 SV% | 2.74 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	26	24	2	92.3%	2.04	1	0.04
TOR	Joseph Woll	32	27	5	84.4%	4.69	4	-0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NSH at home vs TOR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.33
1	TOR	15	1	0.69
2	NSH	16	1	1.41
2	TOR	12	0	0.67
3	NSH	19	3	2.95
3	TOR	12	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1