Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

NSH: 55.1%

TOR: 44.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.10

TOR: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs TOR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.33
1	TOR	15	1	0.69
2	NSH	16	1	1.41
2	TOR	12	0	0.67
3	NSH	19	3	2.95
3	TOR	12	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9