St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-03-27 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 50.1%
STL: 49.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.35
STL: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NSH at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NSH 6 - 5 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-27 | STL 3 - 2 NSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-15 | STL 2 - 5 NSH | NSH | STL |
| 2025-12-11 | NSH 7 - 2 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-27 | NSH 2 - 3 STL | STL | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.59 |
| 1 | STL | 4 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 2 | NSH | 13 | 1 | 0.80 |
| 2 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 3 | STL | 15 | 1 | 1.05 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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