Edmonton Oilers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-27 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 48.3%

EDM: 51.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.12

EDM: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	36	1	97.3%	2.93	2	1.93
EDM	Calvin Pickard	37	31	6	83.8%	4.43	2	-1.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs EDM: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	EDM
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	0.69
1	EDM	17	0	0.97
2	SEA	23	1	2.02
2	EDM	18	2	1.27
3	SEA	18	1	1.72
3	EDM	18	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 6 - 1 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9