Columbus Blue Jackets at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

OTT: 66.7%

CBJ: 33.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.42

CBJ: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Linus Ullmark	30	28	2	93.3%	1.99	1	-0.01
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	27	24	3	88.9%	3.36	3	0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • OTT at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.55
1	CBJ	18	0	0.73
2	OTT	19	3	1.75
2	CBJ	7	0	0.14
3	OTT	18	0	1.05
3	CBJ	19	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7