Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2025-03-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

DET: 57.9%

BOS: 42.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.49

BOS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	1	0.63
1	BOS	15	1	1.04
2	DET	12	1	1.07
2	BOS	11	0	0.43
3	DET	8	0	0.38
3	BOS	9	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0