Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-04-03 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

DAL: 58.7%

NSH: 41.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.27

NSH: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • DAL at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	8	1	0.79
1	NSH	24	1	1.73
2	DAL	15	1	0.94
2	NSH	10	1	0.48
3	DAL	16	2	1.56
3	NSH	9	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 5 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8