Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-04-05 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VAN: 61.8%

ANA: 38.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.62

ANA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	30	2	93.8%	2.65	1	0.65
ANA	Lukas Dostal	26	20	6	76.9%	3.05	2	-2.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • VAN at home vs ANA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA
2025-11-26	ANA 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	ANA
2025-04-05	VAN 6 - 2 ANA	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	16	2	2.15
1	ANA	18	0	0.48
2	VAN	14	0	0.52
2	ANA	16	0	1.15
3	VAN	9	0	0.39
3	ANA	16	1	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0