Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-04-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 7 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 59.4%

BOS: 40.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.15

BOS: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	25	18	7	72.0%	2.06	1	-4.94
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	21	19	2	90.5%	1.89	1	-0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.46
1	BOS	15	0	0.53
2	NJD	16	0	0.92
2	BOS	13	0	0.65
3	NJD	7	1	0.52
3	BOS	9	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 7 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9