Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-04-16 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

NSH: 56.6%

DAL: 43.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.03

DAL: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs DAL: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	0	0.92
1	DAL	15	0	1.23
2	NSH	15	0	1.21
2	DAL	17	0	0.99
3	NSH	16	1	1.28
3	DAL	10	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9