Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-05-12 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.6%
WSH: 38.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.11
WSH: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | CAR | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.957 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | WSH 4 - 3 CAR | WSH | CAR |
| 2025-12-11 | WSH 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-11 | CAR 1 - 4 WSH | WSH | CAR |
| 2025-05-15 | WSH 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-05-12 | CAR 5 - 2 WSH | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:24 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:45 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:39 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 2 Washington Capitals
Expected: 4.1 - 2.4
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