Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-05-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

WPG: 64.2%

DAL: 35.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.10

DAL: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	1.35
1	DAL	8	0	0.65
2	WPG	13	1	0.96
2	DAL	8	0	0.56
3	WPG	15	1	1.75
3	DAL	19	0	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.1 - 2.4