Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-17 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (67% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 33.0%

WPG: 67.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.21

WPG: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 4.2

Over 5.5: 30%

Over 6.5: 19%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	WPG

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
2	05:28	WPG	Goal
2	11:12	DAL	Goal
4	01:33	DAL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.2 - 3.2