Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-05-17 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

DAL: 58.6%

WPG: 41.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.12

WPG: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • DAL at home vs WPG: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	20	0	1.10
1	WPG	8	0	0.17
2	DAL	12	1	0.77
2	WPG	19	1	1.46
3	DAL	22	1	1.13
3	WPG	8	0	0.55
4	DAL	4	0	0.39
4	WPG	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.8