Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-05-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 57.0%

EDM: 43.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.39

EDM: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • VGK at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	EDM
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	VGK
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:42	VGK	Goal
2	11:31	VGK	Goal
2	15:18	EDM	Goal
2	17:17	EDM	Goal
2	18:10	EDM	Goal
3	01:52	EDM	Goal
3	04:32	EDM	Goal
3	11:58	VGK	Goal
4	15:20	EDM	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0