Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-05-02 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CAR: 70.2%

PHI: 29.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.78

PHI: 2.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	1	0.98
1	PHI	7	0	0.40
2	CAR	13	1	1.03
2	PHI	7	1	0.54
3	CAR	6	1	0.58
3	PHI	16	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.1