Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-05-04 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 70.9%

PHI: 29.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.55

PHI: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.99
1	PHI	7	2	1.27
2	CAR	23	2	1.79
2	PHI	12	1	0.65
3	CAR	11	1	0.66
3	PHI	8	0	0.44
4	CAR	14	0	1.01
4	PHI	19	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6