Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-05-07 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 61.7%

CAR: 38.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.94

CAR: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	0	0.82
1	CAR	19	2	1.62
2	PHI	8	1	0.76
2	CAR	13	0	0.90
3	PHI	7	0	0.41
3	CAR	18	0	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1