Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-05-09 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 62.9%

CAR: 37.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.05

CAR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	11	0	0.87
1	CAR	11	0	0.89
2	PHI	9	0	0.97
2	CAR	22	0	1.15
3	PHI	9	1	0.94
3	CAR	18	0	0.87
4	PHI	2	0	0.00
4	CAR	7	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1