Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-05-03 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 6 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

COL: 74.9%

MIN: 25.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 6.14

MIN: 3.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	24	0	1.35
1	MIN	13	0	0.64
2	COL	15	0	0.89
2	MIN	20	1	1.69
3	COL	17	1	2.06
3	MIN	16	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 15.0

Expected: 9.9

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 9 - 6 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 6.1 - 3.8