Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-05-09 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 38.8%

COL: 61.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.62

COL: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	0	0.85
1	COL	14	0	0.77
2	MIN	10	1	0.97
2	COL	19	1	0.87
3	MIN	18	3	2.51
3	COL	26	0	1.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3