Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-05-11 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 38.8%

COL: 61.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.60

COL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs COL: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	6	0	0.34
1	COL	15	1	0.79
2	MIN	14	1	1.12
2	COL	15	2	1.66
3	MIN	17	2	1.13
3	COL	24	4	3.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2